The NZDUSD currency pair is declining for the sixth consecutive day, reversing the previous day’s attempt to rebound from the weekly low. It is currently trading at 0.62275.

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The NZDUSD currency pair is declining for the sixth consecutive day, reversing the previous day’s attempt to rebound from the weekly low. It is currently trading at 0.62275.

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  • NZD/USD fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off weekly low, down for the sixth consecutive day.
  • Downbeat sentiment, mixed headlines about China weigh on the Kiwi pair.
  • US Dollar’s pause around weekly top, after rising the most in a month, prods pair sellers.
  • Risk catalysts will be crucial for clear directions ahead of next week’s FOMC.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.62275.

    The previous day high was 0.6309 while the previous day low was 0.6213. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.625, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6272, expected to provide resistance.

    NZD/USD remains on the back foot at the intraday low of 0.6225 while reversing late Thursday’s corrective bounce off the weekly low amid the early Asian session on Friday. In doing so, the Kiwi pair justifies the market’s sour sentiment, as well as mostly downbeat headlines about China, while printing the six-day losing streak despite a lack of major data/events.

    The risk appetite sours in Asia, tracing Wall Street, as downbeat US tech earnings join fears of higher US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar to weigh on the NZD/USD price. That said, US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 228K for the week ended on July 14, the lowest since May, versus 237K prior and 242K market forecasts but the Continuing Jobless Claims rose to 1.754M for the said period compared to market forecasts of reprinting 1.729M figures. Additionally, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey gauge improved to -13.5 for July from -13.7 prior, versus -10 expected while Existing Home Sales slumped -3.3% MoM in June compared to 0.2% prior gain.

    Previously, US Building Permits and Housing Stars also reported downbeat figures for June whereas the Retail Sales growth eased despite posting upbeat details of Retail Sales Control Group for June. Despite the recently upbeat US employment clues, the US statistics haven’t been impressive to support the Fed in announcing more rate hikes past July in the next week, which in turn can challenge the US Dollar bulls.

    Against this backdrop, the Wall Street benchmark closed in the red while the S&P500 Futures also remain depressed after refreshing the yearly high on Wednesday. That said, the US Treasury bond yields refresh their weekly lows and prod the NZD/USD bears.

    Elsewhere, fears of witnessing downbeat China growth join the People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) efforts to defend the world’s second-biggest economy to prod the NZD/USD traders. Additionally challenging the Kiwi pair buyers are the PBoC Moves. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) kept its benchmark Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged during Thursday’s Interest Rate Decision but took measures to lure global investment. With this, the one-year and five-year LPRs are held intact at 3.55% and 4.20% respectively while the cross-border funding adjustment parameter for firms was lifted to 1.5 from 1.25. The same allows the Chinese institutes to gain international funding with lesser hardships.

    Moving on, a light calendar may allow the NZD/USD Price to consolidate the recent moves should the market sentiment improves. However, the cautious mood ahead of the next week’s monetary policy decision of the Fed may not allow the risk appetite to improve, which in turn can weigh on the Kiwi pair prices.

    A sustained downside break of a three-week-old rising trend line, around 0.6280 by the press time, directs NZD/USD bears toward the 200-DMA support of 0.6205.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    NZDUSD currently trading at 0.6226 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6235 and is trading with a change of -0.14% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.6226
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0009
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.14%
    3 Today daily open 0.6235

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.6207, 50 SMA 0.6171, 100 SMA @ 0.6195 and 200 SMA @ 0.6203.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.6207
    1 Daily SMA50 0.6171
    2 Daily SMA100 0.6195
    3 Daily SMA200 0.6203

    The previous day high was 0.6309 while the previous day low was 0.6213. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.625, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6272, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.6196, 0.6156, 0.61
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6292, 0.6348, 0.6388
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.6309
    Previous Daily Low 0.6213
    Previous Weekly High 0.6413
    Previous Weekly Low 0.6166
    Previous Monthly High 0.6250
    Previous Monthly Low 0.5990
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6250
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6272
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6196
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6156
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6100
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6292
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6348
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6388

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