It is predicted that the USDCHF currency pair, currently at 0.88471, will continue to decline below 0.8840 due to a positive market outlook.
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- USD/CHF is expected to extend its downside journey below 0.8840 as the market sentiment is bullish.
The pair currently trades last at 0.88471.
The previous day high was 0.8918 while the previous day low was 0.8852. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8877, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8893, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/CHF pair has delivered a perpendicular fall to near 0.8840 in the early European session. The Swiss Franc asset is expected to deliver further breakdown as the market mood is quite upbeat and the appeal for the US Dollar Index (DXY) is extremely weak.
S&P500 futures have turned choppy after a bullish trading session, awaiting a fresh trigger for further action. c Federal Reserve (Fed), which will be announced this month. The yields offered on 10-year US treasury bonds have dropped below 4.0%.
This week, the major trigger for the USD Index will be the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will release on Wednesday at 12:30 GMT. As per the preliminary report, monthly headline CPI delivered a higher pace of 0.3% vs. the former pace of 0.1%. Also, core inflation that excludes oil and food prices is expected to match the headline CPI pace.
Meanwhile, annualized headline CPI is expected to decelerate to 3.1% against the former release of 4.0%, and core inflation is seen softening to 5.0% vs. May’s figure of 5.3% in a similar period.
Apart from the US inflation data, investors will focus on the Fed’s Beige Book, which is expected to show the current economic situation and the outlook.
An absence of economic events in the Swiss Franc economy will keep the spotlight on the US Dollar. However, about the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) interest rate guidance, analysts at MUFG believe that another 25 bps rate hike in September seems more likely than not at this stage. Another rate hike with core CPI unchanged at the current level (1.9%) or lower would take the SNB’s policy rate in real terms into positive territory – joining the RBNZ, the Fed, and the BoC.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.8844 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8854 and is trading with a change of -0.11 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.8844 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0010 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.1100 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.8854 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8957, 50 SMA 0.8982, 100 SMA @ 0.9067 and 200 SMA @ 0.9277.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.8957 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.8982 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9067 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9277 |
The previous day high was 0.8918 while the previous day low was 0.8852. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8877, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8893, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.8831, 0.8809, 0.8765
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8897, 0.8941, 0.8963
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.8918 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.8852 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9005 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.8876 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.9120 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.8902 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.8877 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.8893 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.8831 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.8809 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.8765 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.8897 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.8941 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.8963 |
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