#GBPJPY @ 164.220 is eyeing more weakness below 164.00 amid a decent UK economic outlook. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/JPY is eyeing more weakness below 164.00 amid a decent UK economic outlook.
- UK business sentiment improved as political turmoil and inflationary pressures showed some signs of easing.
- A positive contribution to Japan’s inflation through international forces would only create troubles for BoJ policymakers.
The pair currently trades last at 164.220.
The previous day high was 166.41 while the previous day low was 164.19. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 165.56, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 165.04, expected to provide resistance.
The GBP/JPY pair looks vulnerable above the immediate cushion of 164.00 in the Tokyo session. The cross is struggling to firm its feet despite the Bank of England (BoE) is likely to continue its quantitative restrictive program to tame galloping inflation.
BoE policymakers considered the rebound in February’s inflation a one-time thing and anticipated that inflation will drop below 4% by the end of this year as energy costs fall, however, the booming economic outlook is telling a different story. Reuters reported on Tuesday that the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said, Most British businesses expect their sales to rise over the coming year – an improvement from late 2022 – despite seeing no sales growth over the past three months.
BCC further that, “After a slump in business confidence in the second half of 2022, business sentiment improved as political turmoil and inflationary pressures showed some signs of easing.”
Meanwhile, BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill said on Tuesday that caution is still needed in assessing inflation prospects on account of the potential persistence of domestically generated inflation, as reported by Reuters. He further added, “Wage developments, particularly higher frequency indicators of current momentum, appear to be easing.”
On the Tokyo front, the Japanese Yen has remained subdued amid rising oil prices. This would step-up Japan’s inflation ahead, however, a positive contribution to Japan’s inflation through international forces would only create troubles for Bank of Japan (BoJ) policymakers.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPJPY currently trading at 164.18 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 164.66 and is trading with a change of -0.29 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 164.18 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.48 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.29 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 164.66 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 162.25, 50 SMA 161.63, 100 SMA @ 162.35 and 200 SMA @ 163.15.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 162.25 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 161.63 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 162.35 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 163.15 |
The previous day high was 166.41 while the previous day low was 164.19. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 165.56, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 165.04, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 163.76, 162.86, 161.54
- Pivot resistance is noted at 165.98, 167.3, 168.2
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 166.41 |
| Previous Daily Low | 164.19 |
| Previous Weekly High | 165.47 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 159.66 |
| Previous Monthly High | 165.47 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 158.27 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 165.56 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 165.04 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 163.76 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 162.86 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 161.54 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 165.98 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 167.30 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 168.20 |
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