#GBPUSD @ 1.22076 meets with aggressive supply on Friday and is pressured by a combination of factors. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• GBP/USD meets with aggressive supply on Friday and is pressured by a combination of factors.
• The risk-off impulse boosts the safe-haven USD and triggers the initial leg of the intraday slide.
• The disappointing release of the UK PMI weighs on the GBP and contributes to the downfall.

The pair currently trades last at 1.22076.

The previous day high was 1.2344 while the previous day low was 1.2262. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2312, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2293, expected to provide resistance.

The GBP/USD pair comes under heavy selling pressure on the last day of the week and retreats further from its highest level since early February, around the 1.2340-1.2345 region touched on Thursday. The selling bias remains unabated through the first half of the European session and drags spot prices back closer to the 1.2200 mark in the last hour.

A fresh wave of the global risk-aversion trade – as depicted by a sharp intraday fall in the equity markets – assists the US Dollar (USD) to gain strong follow-through traction on Friday and build on the previous day’s goodish rebound from a seven-week low. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor weighing heavily on the GBP/USD pair. The British Pound is further weighed down by the Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey’s dovish remarks and the disappointing release of the flash UK PMI prints for March.

In an interview with BBC on Friday, Bailey noted that there is evidence of encouraging progress on inflation and that companies should bear in mind that BoE forecasts inflation will fall. Furthermore, the S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI contracted further to 48.0 in March versus the 49.8 expected and the previous month’s final reading of 49.3. Adding to this, the Preliminary UK Services Business Activity Index for March dropped to 52.8 from 53.5 in February and consensus estimates for a reading of 53.0.

With the latest leg down, the GBP/USD pair has now reversed a major part of its gains recorded over the past two sessions and has now moved well within the striking distance of the weekly low. Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of Durable Goods Orders and the flash PMI prints for March. This, along with the broader risk sentiment, will influence the USD price dynamics and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities around the major.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2213 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2288 and is trading with a change of -0.61 % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2071, 50 SMA 1.2148, 100 SMA @ 1.2084 and 200 SMA @ 1.1893.

The previous day high was 1.2344 while the previous day low was 1.2262. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2312, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2293, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1.2252, 1.2216, 1.217
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2334, 1.2379, 1.2415

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