#USDJPY @ 131.860 is likely to drag further amid the strengthening appeal for the Japanese Yen. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDJPY @ 131.860 is likely to drag further amid the strengthening appeal for the Japanese Yen. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/JPY is likely to drag further amid the strengthening appeal for the Japanese Yen.
  • It seems that forward anxiety ahead of the Fed’s monetary policy is missing from the market.
  • Declining 10-EMA at 132.35 indicates that the downside momentum is extremely strong.

The pair currently trades last at 131.860.

The previous day high was 133.77 while the previous day low was 131.56. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 132.4, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 132.92, expected to provide resistance.

The USD/JPY pair has corrected sharply below 132.00 in the Asian session. The appeal for the Japanese Yen as a safe-haven has improved amid potential fears of global banking turmoil led by rising interest rates by western central banks.

S&P500 futures have turned negative after surrendering significant gains generated in the early morning session, portraying extremely negative market sentiment, despite UBS rescuing Credit Suisse. Bloomberg reported Finma Chief Urban Angehrn says US regulators support the UBS deal to buy Credit Suisse for $3.3 billion.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to sustain above the 103.80 resistance. It seems that forward anxiety ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy is missing from the market.

USD/JPY is declining toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (placed from January 16 low at 127.22 to March 08 high at 137.91) at 131.30 on a four-hour scale.

The declining 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 132.35 indicates that the downside momentum is extremely strong.

Adding to that, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which promises weakness further.

It seems that the downside pressure would continue if the asset will surrender last week’s low at 131.55. An occurrence of the same would drag the asset toward January 23 high around 130.89 followed by February 10 low at 129.80.

In an alternate scenario, a break above the 38.2% Fibo retracement at 133.83 would strengthen the US Dollar bulls. This might drive the asset toward March 15 high at 135.11 and February 28 low at 135.73.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDJPY currently trading at 131.82 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 131.84 and is trading with a change of -0.02 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 131.82
1 Today Daily Change -0.02
2 Today Daily Change % -0.02
3 Today daily open 131.84

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 135.2, 50 SMA 132.54, 100 SMA @ 135.28 and 200 SMA @ 137.48.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 135.20
1 Daily SMA50 132.54
2 Daily SMA100 135.28
3 Daily SMA200 137.48

The previous day high was 133.77 while the previous day low was 131.56. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 132.4, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 132.92, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 131.01, 130.18, 128.8
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 133.22, 134.6, 135.43
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 133.77
Previous Daily Low 131.56
Previous Weekly High 135.12
Previous Weekly Low 131.56
Previous Monthly High 136.92
Previous Monthly Low 128.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 132.40
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 132.92
Daily Pivot Point S1 131.01
Daily Pivot Point S2 130.18
Daily Pivot Point S3 128.80
Daily Pivot Point R1 133.22
Daily Pivot Point R2 134.60
Daily Pivot Point R3 135.43

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