#EURJPY @ 139.123 Coordinated efforts to rescue the global banking sector fail to boost . (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Coordinated efforts to rescue the global banking sector fail to boost EUR/JPY.
- European banking crisis takes a toll on EUR/JPY despite interest rate hikes.
- Narrowing yield differential with JGBs adds to EUR/JPY volatility amid banking turmoil.
The pair currently trades last at 139.123.
The previous day high was 142.22 while the previous day low was 140.16. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.95, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 141.43, expected to provide resistance.
EUR/JPY retraced all of its earlier gains on Monday as investors were on the back foot despite coordinated efforts to rescue the global banking sector. Over the weekend, some major central banks joined to rescue the squeeze on liquidity experienced by some commercial banks.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) reopened the swap line for needy central banks to bid the US Dollar on short-term maturity. This new development initially prompted immunity from the safe-haven Japanese Yen. However, as the session progressed, we saw a U-turn in sentiment and a recovery in safe-haven demand.
The US banking turmoil is reverberating within Europe. It all started with Credit Suisse’s financial stability failure, despite the Swiss National Bank’s intervention. Things do not look to be settling down, and ultimately the Swiss authority has had to support UBS to take over Credit Suisse.
Last week, the European Central Bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) despite the problems with Credit Suisse. The rise could act as a double whammy amid the banking crisis. Citing earlier reports, two European banks are under scrutiny amid possible contagion rumors. The cultivation of such a scenario may impact and force central banks to rethink their rate-hiking path. This is likely to have a more negative impact on the Euro than the Yen.
On the other hand, this banking crisis is weighing on global yields. Therefore, the yield differential with Japanese Government Bond yields (JGB) is narrowing, which is one-factor inducing volatility in the Japanese Yen.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURJPY currently trading at 139.69 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 140.67 and is trading with a change of -0.7 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 139.69 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.98 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.70 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 140.67 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 143.63, 50 SMA 142.16, 100 SMA @ 142.86 and 200 SMA @ 141.8.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 143.63 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 142.16 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 142.86 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 141.80 |
The previous day high was 142.22 while the previous day low was 140.16. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.95, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 141.43, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 139.81, 138.96, 137.76
- Pivot resistance is noted at 141.87, 143.07, 143.93
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 142.22 |
| Previous Daily Low | 140.16 |
| Previous Weekly High | 144.96 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 139.13 |
| Previous Monthly High | 145.47 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 139.55 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 140.95 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 141.43 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 139.81 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 138.96 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 137.76 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 141.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 143.07 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 143.93 |
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