The continuation of further policy easing by the BoJ has infused fresh blood into Japanese equities. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- The continuation of further policy easing by the BoJ has infused fresh blood into Japanese equities.
- Chinese indices have failed to capitalize on decent growth projections from China’s Vice-Premier Liu He.
- The odds of higher China oil demand by OPEC have strengthened the oil price.
The pair currently trades last at 26279.41.
The previous day high was 26427.35 while the previous day low was 25962.79. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 26249.89, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 26140.25, expected to provide support.
Markets in the Asian domain are displaying mixed signals amid respective developments. Japanese equities have got an adrenaline rush as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has announced an unchanged interest rate policy. Meanwhile, Chinese stocks are driving lower since the opening trade despite optimist commentary from China’s Vice-Premier Liu He.
Investors’ risk appetite has improved which has weighed heavily on the US Treasury yields. The alpha generated by the 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped below 3.49%. S&P500 futures have recovered their entire losses recorded in early Asia, portraying a recovery in the risk-on impulse. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has scaled higher to near 102.40 ahead of the release of the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) data and monthly Retail Sales.
At the press time, Japan’s Nikkei225 soared 2.70%, ChinaA50 dropped 0.20%, Hang Seng eased 0.10%, and Nifty50 remained almost flat.
The continuation of an ultra-loose monetary policy by the BoJ has brought a rally in Japanese indices. The BoJ has kept the interest rate unchanged at -0.1% and the 10-year Japan Government bonds (JGBs) target at around 0%. The absence of inflation revision and no commentary over BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s successor has shocked the market participants.
Chinese stocks have witnessed a sheer fall despite China’s Vice-Premier Liu He has claim that the country’s “growth rate in CY2023 is likely to return to normal, as firms increase investment and consumption rebounds” at Davos late Tuesday. He further added that Beijing welcomes foreign investment and seeks to expand foreign trade, as these are strong pillars of China’s economic progress.”
Meanwhile, oil prices have reclaimed the critical resistance of $81.00 after Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Secretary-General, Haitham Al Ghais, said that the cartel is expecting a rise in China’s oil demand by 500k bpd in CY2023. However, the oil cartel is expecting a slowdown in Eurozone and the United States.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XTIUSD currently trading at 26279.41 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 26279.41 and is trading with a change of 0.0 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 26279.41 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.00 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.00 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 26279.41 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 26136.9, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 27185.99 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 27238.36 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 27207.71
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 26136.90 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 27185.99 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 27238.36 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 27207.71 |
The previous day high was 26427.35 while the previous day low was 25962.79. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 26249.89, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 26140.25, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 26019.02, 25758.62, 25554.46
- Pivot resistance is noted at 26483.58, 26687.74, 26948.14
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 26427.35 |
| Previous Daily Low | 25962.79 |
| Previous Weekly High | 26578.67 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 25721.43 |
| Previous Monthly High | 28325.89 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 25793.22 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 26249.89 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 26140.25 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 26019.02 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 25758.62 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 25554.46 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 26483.58 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 26687.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 26948.14 |
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