#GBPUSD @ 1.06745 picks up bids to extend corrective bounce off the record low prices. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD picks up bids to extend corrective bounce off the record low prices.
- UK Opposition Labour Finance Spokesperson Rachel Reeves teased unscheduled BOE rate hike.
- British military intelligence spots the start of Russia’s partial mobilization of troops.
- Risk catalysts are important but BOE’s intervention could offer the much-needed bounce to the Cable.
The pair currently trades last at 1.06745.
The previous day high was 1.1274 while the previous day low was 1.084. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1006, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1108, expected to provide resistance.
GBP/USD consolidates the daily loss around the record low, picking up bids to 1.0660 heading into London open on Monday, amid talks of the Bank of England’s (BOE) rate hike.
As per the latest updates, GBP/USD traders price 150 basis points (bps) of the BOE rate hike by November. Also fueling the cable of late could be the comments from UK Opposition Labour Finance Spokesperson Rachel Reeves who said, “The fall in sterling puts pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates.” The shadow Chancellor also mentioned that She is incredibly worried about the market reaction to the mini-budget.
The Cable pair slumped to the all-time bottom earlier in the day amid fears that the UK’s fiscal package won’t be able to cure the British economic problems. On top of that, the Labour Party leader criticised the tax cut efforts and amplified the pair of the GBP/USD buyers.
Elsewhere, headlines suggesting Japan’s ban on goods related to chemical weapons to Russia and the European Crisis Response Working Group’s meeting to discuss the gravity of situations also weigh on the risk appetite and probe the GBP/USD bulls. It should be noted that the US warned of “catastrophic consequences” if Moscow were to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine and propelled the risk-off mood, as well as the US dollar, during the early day.
Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures dropped near 0.80% and the US 10-year Treasury yields remain firmer the highest levels since 2010. Further, the US 02-year bond coupons refreshed the 15-year top to 4.30% at the latest.
Moving on, GBP/USD remains at the mercy of the BOE intervention and could plummet if the “Old Lady”, as the central bank is mostly known, disappoints the pair traders.
GBP/USD buyers need validation from the year 2020 low near 1.1410 to justify the recovery moves.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.0653 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.086 and is trading with a change of -1.91% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0653 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0207 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -1.91% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.086 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1475, 50 SMA 1.1808, 100 SMA @ 1.2045 and 200 SMA @ 1.2654.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1475 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1808 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2045 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2654 |
The previous day high was 1.1274 while the previous day low was 1.084. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1006, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1108, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0708, 1.0557, 1.0274
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1143, 1.1426, 1.1577
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1274 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0840 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1461 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0840 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2294 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1599 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1006 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1108 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0708 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0557 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0274 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1143 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1426 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1577 |
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