The USD to INR exchange rate rises for the third consecutive day and reaches a high not seen in several weeks on Thursday.

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The USD to INR exchange rate rises for the third consecutive day and reaches a high not seen in several weeks on Thursday.

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  • USD/INR scales higher for the third straight day and climbs to a multi-week high on Thursday.
  • The overnight sustained breakout through the 82.25 confluence hurdle favours bullish traders.
  • Acceptance back below the 82.00 mark is needed to negate the near-term positive outlook.
  • The pair currently trades last at 82.4404.

    The previous day high was 82.4436 while the previous day low was 81.9735. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 82.2641, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 82.1531, expected to provide support.

    The USD/INR pair attracts some buying for the third successive day on Thursday and climbs to over a three-week high during the Asian session. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-82.00s, up less than 0.10% for the day, and seem poised to build on the recent strong recovery from the 81.75 region, or the lowest level since May 8 touched on Monday.

    The overnight sustained strength beyond the top end of a multi-week-old trading range, which coincided with a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), was seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have been gaining positive traction and are still far from being in the overbought zone. This, in turn, validates the positive outlook for the USD/INR pair.

    From current levels, the 82.70-82.75 region is likely to act as an immediate resistance, above which spot prices could make a fresh attempt to conquer the 83.00 round figure. The said handle has been acting as a strong barrier since October 2022. Hence, some follow-through buying will mark a fresh bullish breakout and pave the way for a further near-term appreciating move for the USD/INR pair.

    On the flip side, the 200-day SMA, around the 82.25 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the 82.00 mark. This is followed by the monthly low, around the 81.75 zone, which if broken decisively will shift the bias in favour of bearish traders. The USD/INR pair might then accelerate the slide towards the 81.50 support before dropping to test sub-81.00 levels or the YTD low touched in January.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDINR currently trading at 82.4285 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 82.3929 and is trading with a change of 0.04 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 82.4285
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0356
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0400
    3 Today daily open 82.3929

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 82.0913, 50 SMA 82.2187, 100 SMA @ 82.2361 and 200 SMA @ 82.1602.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 82.0913
    1 Daily SMA50 82.2187
    2 Daily SMA100 82.2361
    3 Daily SMA200 82.1602

    The previous day high was 82.4436 while the previous day low was 81.9735. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 82.2641, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 82.1531, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 82.0964, 81.7999, 81.6262
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 82.5665, 82.7402, 83.0367
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 82.4436
    Previous Daily Low 81.9735
    Previous Weekly High 82.2590
    Previous Weekly Low 81.9393
    Previous Monthly High 82.7370
    Previous Monthly Low 81.8477
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 82.2641
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 82.1531
    Daily Pivot Point S1 82.0964
    Daily Pivot Point S2 81.7999
    Daily Pivot Point S3 81.6262
    Daily Pivot Point R1 82.5665
    Daily Pivot Point R2 82.7402
    Daily Pivot Point R3 83.0367

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