#EURUSD @ 1.07675 US Jobless Claims unexpectedly jump to the highest level since October 2021. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- US Jobless Claims unexpectedly jump to the highest level since October 2021.
- The US Dollar weakens across the board after the data, with the DXY dropping below 103.50.
- The EUR/USD is moving towards last week’s high, approaching 1.0800.
The pair currently trades last at 1.07675.
The previous day high was 1.074 while the previous day low was 1.0668. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0713, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0696, expected to provide support.
The EUR/USD accelerated to the upside following the release of employment data from the US. The pair is trading at 1.0770/75, the highest level since last Friday, supported by a slide of the US Dollar across the board.
“The Labor Department’s weekly report showed that Initial Jobless Claims jumped to 261K in the week ended June 3, which was above market expectations of 235K. It is the highest level since October 2021. The US Dollar weakened further after the data, falling to fresh daily lows against most of its rivals and US yield turned to the downside. The DXY tumbled to test weekly lows under 103.40.
The employment figures eased expectations about a potential rate hike from the Federal Reserve next week. The FOMC will announce its decision on Wednesday, and the consensus is for the Fed to keep rates unchanged.
Earlier on Thursday, data from Eurostat showed that the Eurozone economy contracted 0.1% during the first quarter, revised from 0.0%. Next Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to announce a rate hike, despite weak activity figures. As ECB President Lagarde said, inflation remains too elevated, in line with comments from other members of the Governing Council.
During the last few days, the EUR/USD has been unable to sustainably move away from the 1.0700 level. However, on Thursday, the pair appears to be breaking to the upside. Euro’s momentum seems strong, and the pair is about to test last week’s highs around 1.0780. Above that level, attention would turn to 1.0800/05.
The immediate support is now seen around 1.0740, followed by the 1.0700/05 area, which contains the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart. A slide below this level would negate the current bullish bias in the short term.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0774 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0699 and is trading with a change of 0.7 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0774 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0075 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.7000 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0699 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.077, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0889 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.081 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0512
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0770 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0889 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0810 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0512 |
The previous day high was 1.074 while the previous day low was 1.0668. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0713, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0696, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0665, 1.0631, 1.0593
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0736, 1.0774, 1.0808
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0740 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0668 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0779 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0635 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1092 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0635 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0713 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0696 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0665 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0631 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0593 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0736 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0774 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0808 |
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