#EURUSD @ 1.08924 holds lower ground after confirming a bearish chart formation, sidelined of late., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD holds lower ground after confirming a bearish chart formation, sidelined of late.
- Recovery remains elusive below 1.0950 even as MACD signals test Euro sellers of late.
- 200-HMA, fortnight-old support line can act as intermediate halt during theoretical south-run targeting 1.0790.
The pair currently trades last at 1.08924.
The previous day high was 1.097 while the previous day low was 1.0891. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0921, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.094, expected to provide resistance.
EUR/USD prints mild losses around 1.0890 during the two-day downtrend heading into Thursday’s European session. In doing so, the Euro pair extends the previous day’s pullback from a two-month high after confirming a bearish “Head and Shoulders” (H&S) chart pattern on the hourly play.
It’s worth noting, however, that a light calendar and receding strength of the bearish MACD signals seem to challenge the EUR/USD sellers of late.
The Euro pair remains on the bear’s radar unless crossing the 1.0900 support-turned-resistance, comprising the neckline of the stated H&S formation.
Following that, a one-week-old ascending resistance line around 1.0950 can act as the last defense of the EUR/USD bears before targeting the latest swing high of 1.0975.
Should the EUR/USD buyers keep the reins past 1.0975, the 1.1000 psychological magnet and the Year-To-Date (YTD) high of 1.1033 will be in focus.
Alternatively, the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) precedes a two-week-long ascending trend line to restrict short-term EUR/USD downside around 1.0865 and 1.0830 in that order.
It’s worth observing that the H&S confirmation flashes the theoretical target of 1.0790 which is near the weekly bottom.
Hence, EUR/USD is well-set for further declines despite the latest inaction.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0892 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0904 and is trading with a change of -0.11 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0892 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0012 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.1100 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0904 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.0773, 50 SMA 1.0733, 100 SMA @ 1.0668 and 200 SMA @ 1.0348.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0773 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0733 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0668 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0348 |
The previous day high was 1.097 while the previous day low was 1.0891. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0921, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.094, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0874, 1.0843, 1.0795
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0952, 1.1, 1.1031
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0970 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0891 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0926 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0745 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0930 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0516 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0921 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0940 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0874 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0843 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0795 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0952 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1000 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1031 |
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