#GBPUSD @ 1.22669 corrects vertically from 1.2335 as Fed Powell denies rate cuts this year. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD corrects vertically from 1.2335 as Fed Powell denies rate cuts this year.
- US Yellen commented that they are not considering insuring all uninsured bank deposits.
- Going forward, the interest rate decision by the BoE will be keenly watched.
The pair currently trades last at 1.22669.
The previous day high was 1.2283 while the previous day low was 1.2179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2218, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2243, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair has surrendered the majority of its gains generated after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a 25 basis point (bp) rate hike to 4.75-5.00% in its monetary policy meeting. The Cable has dropped vertically after printing a fresh six-week high at 1.2335 as Fed chair Jerome Powell has cleared that the central bank is not expecting any rate cut this year.
The main agenda of the Fed that inflation has to bring down to the desired rate of 2% is intact and the central bank would do ‘whatever it takes’ required for the same. Fed Powell has cleared, “Recent liquidity provision for rescuing the collapse of commercial banks that has increased balance sheet size is not intended to alter the stance of monetary policy.”
Meanwhile, S&P500 has surrendered its entire gains delivered on Tuesday after Fed Powell cleared that rate cuts are not in pipeline at least this year. This has strengthened the fears of a recession in the United States. Apart from that, commentary from US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen that they are not considering insuring all uninsured bank deposits has spooked market sentiment further. The statement came contradictory as she stated on Tuesday that the administration will safeguard all deposits.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown some recovery after dropping to near 102.00 as hopes of rate cuts have faded well. The USD Index has recovered to near 102.60 and a volatility contraction is expected ahead.
On the United Kingdom front, investors are awaiting the interest rate decision by the Bank of England (BoE) for fresh impetus. A surprise rise in the UK inflation released on Wednesday has bolstered the need of more rate hikes from the BoE. Analysts at UOB are of the view that BoE Governor Andrew Bailey would hike rates further by 25 bps.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2267 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2217 and is trading with a change of 0.41 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2267 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0050 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.4100 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2217 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2046, 50 SMA 1.2144, 100 SMA @ 1.2064 and 200 SMA @ 1.1893.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2046 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2144 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2064 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1893 |
The previous day high was 1.2283 while the previous day low was 1.2179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2218, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2243, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.217, 1.2122, 1.2066
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2274, 1.233, 1.2378
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2283 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2179 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2204 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.2010 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2402 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1915 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2218 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2243 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2170 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.2122 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.2066 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2274 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2330 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2378 |
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