#GBPUSD @ 1.22406 UK inflations accelerates unexpectedly in February, ahead of BoE decision. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- UK inflations accelerates unexpectedly in February, ahead of BoE decision.
- US Dollar mixed as traders await Federal Reserve’s announcements.
- GBP/USD retreats from six-week highs toward 1.2200.
The pair currently trades last at 1.22406.
The previous day high was 1.2283 while the previous day low was 1.2179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2218, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2243, expected to provide resistance.
The GBP/USD retreated more than 70 pips from the six-week high it reached earlier of 1.2297 and dropped to 1.2218 as Pound’s momentum following UK CPI faded, ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision.
Earlier on Wednesday, the UK inflation numbers surprised to the upside. The Consumer Price Index rose from 10.1% to 10.4% YoY, against expectations of a modest decline. The unexpected accelerations boosted the Pound, that then gave back all gains.
The inflation numbers increased the pressure on the Bank of England which will announce on Thursday its decision on monetary policy. A 25 bps rate hike is now more firmly expected.
The Fed announces its rate decision at 18:00 GMT. The consensus forecast indicates a 25 bps hike to 4.75% – 5.00%. The statement, the projections and Chair Powell’s press conference could be as important as the rate decision considering the uncertainty surrounding the meeting.
Ahead of the meeting, the US Dollar Index is falling 0.15% as US yields move away from daily highs. GBP/USD is hovering around 1.2240 as a weaker US Dollar helped the pair find demand. The bias is still to the upside, with immediate support levels at 1.2220 and 1.2200/05. On the upside, a consolidation above 1.2300 could open the door to more gains.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2243 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2217 and is trading with a change of 0.21 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2243 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0026 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.2100 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2217 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2046, 50 SMA 1.2144, 100 SMA @ 1.2064 and 200 SMA @ 1.1893.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2046 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2144 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2064 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1893 |
The previous day high was 1.2283 while the previous day low was 1.2179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2218, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2243, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.217, 1.2122, 1.2066
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2274, 1.233, 1.2378
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2283 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2179 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2204 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.2010 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2402 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1915 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2218 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2243 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2170 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.2122 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.2066 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2274 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2330 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2378 |
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