#USDCHF @ 0.91448 reverses an intraday dip and turns positive for the second successive day on Wednesday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDCHF @ 0.91448 reverses an intraday dip and turns positive for the second successive day on Wednesday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/CHF reverses an intraday dip and turns positive for the second successive day on Wednesday.
  • A further rise in the US bond yields lends support to the USD and remains supportive of the uptick.
  • Signs of stability in the equity markets undermine the safe-haven CHF and further act as a tailwind.

The pair currently trades last at 0.91448.

The previous day high was 0.9165 while the previous day low was 0.9096. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9139, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9123, expected to provide support.

The USD/CHF pair attracts fresh buying following an early dip to the 0.9115 area and turns positive for the second successive day on Wednesday. The pair climbs back above mid-0.9100s during the early European session and looks to build on its recovery from a six-week low touched on Monday.

A further rise in the US Treasury bond yields lends some support to the US Dollar, which, in turn, is seen acting as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair. Despite uncertainties over the US banking system, investors seem convinced that the Federal Reserve might still go ahead with a smaller 25 bps rate hike at its next policy meeting on March 21-22. The bets were lifted by the US consumer inflation figures released on Tuesday and continue to push the US bond yields higher.

Furthermore, signs of stability in the financial markets seem to undermine the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF) and turn out to be another factor offering support to the USD/CHF pair. Investors piled back into stocks, which led to the overnight relief rally on Wall Street, amid easing fears about a broader systemic crisis from the sudden collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). The spillover effect remains supportive of a generally positive tone around the equity markets.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop favours the USD bulls and supports prospects for some meaningful appreciating move for the USD/CHF pair. Market participants now look to the US economic docket, featuring the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI), monthly Retail Sales figures and the Empire State Manufacturing Index later during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields might influence the USD price dynamics.

Traders will further take cues from the broader risk sentiment to grab short-term opportunities around the USD/CHF pair. The market focus, however, will remain glued to a two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting, starting next Tuesday, which will drive the USD in the near term and determine the next leg of a directional move for the major. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that spot prices have bottomed out.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDCHF currently trading at 0.9151 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9142 and is trading with a change of 0.1 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.9151
1 Today Daily Change 0.0009
2 Today Daily Change % 0.1000
3 Today daily open 0.9142

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.9311, 50 SMA 0.926, 100 SMA @ 0.9385 and 200 SMA @ 0.9555.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.9311
1 Daily SMA50 0.9260
2 Daily SMA100 0.9385
3 Daily SMA200 0.9555

The previous day high was 0.9165 while the previous day low was 0.9096. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9139, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9123, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.9104, 0.9066, 0.9035
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9172, 0.9203, 0.9241
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.9165
Previous Daily Low 0.9096
Previous Weekly High 0.9439
Previous Weekly Low 0.9175
Previous Monthly High 0.9429
Previous Monthly Low 0.9059
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9139
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9123
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9104
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9066
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9035
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9172
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9203
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9241

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