Positive development on chatters over BoJ’s novel leadership is supporting Japanese stocks. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• Positive development on chatters over BoJ’s novel leadership is supporting Japanese stocks.
• Chinese indices failed to find strength despite the upbeat GDP data, Industrial Production, and Retail Sales data.
• Oil prices have delivered a recovery ahead of OPEC’s monthly report.

The pair currently trades last at 25908.39.

The previous day high was 25927.42 while the previous day low was 25812.13. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 25883.38, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 25856.17, expected to provide support.

Markets in the Asian domain are displaying mixed signals amid respective developments. The market mood has caught caution as US Treasury yields have extended their gains on early Tuesday. The return on 10-year US Treasury bonds has jumped to near 3.54%. S&P500 futures have extended their losses amid uncertainty due to the extended weekend. While the US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to save the 102.00 support.

At the press time, Japan’s Nikkei225 soared 1.23%, ChinaA50 drops 0.64%, Hang Seng tumbled 0.90% and Nifty50 gained 0.64%.

Volatility in the Japanese equities was highly expected as uncertainty for the Bank of Japan (BOJ)’s first monetary policy of CY2023 is soaring. Investors are keenly waiting for a commentary on the expression of exit from decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy. However, headlines from Reuters that the New BOJ governor nominee is likely to be presented to parliament on Feb 10 have infused fresh blood into the Japanese stocks. Career c.bankers Amamiya, Nakaso, and Yamaguchi are seen as top candidates for being the successor of current BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.

Meanwhile, Chinese indices failed to find strength despite the upbeat Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. In the fourth quarter of CY2022, the Chinese economy expanded by 2.9% on an annual basis while the street was expecting an expansion of 1.8%, lower than the prior release of 3.9%. On a quarterly basis, the economy has remained steady but managed to avoid contraction as investors were expecting de-growth by 0.8%.

Apart from that, annual Industrial Production (Dec) has been reported stronger than anticipated at 1.3% vs. the expectations of 0.5% but lower than the former release of 2.2%. The annual Retail Sales have contracted lower than expected by 1.8% against the estimate of -7.8%.

On the oil front, oil prices have recovered dramatically from $79.00 as reopening reforms in China will produce sheer liquidity, which is expected to trigger a rally in commodities ahead. Moreover, investors are awaiting the monthly report from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which might deliver signs of a further squeeze in oil supply.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XTIUSD currently trading at 25908.39 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 25908.39 and is trading with a change of 0.0 % .

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 26143.16, 50 SMA 27218.15, 100 SMA @ 27254.82 and 200 SMA @ 27211.25.

The previous day high was 25927.42 while the previous day low was 25812.13. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 25883.38, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 25856.17, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 25837.87, 25767.36, 25722.58
• Pivot resistance is noted at 25953.16, 25997.94, 26068.45

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