#XAUUSD @ 1,832.53 Gold price is facing barricades in stretching its recovery move further ahead of US NFP data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#XAUUSD @ 1,832.53 Gold price is facing barricades in stretching its recovery move further ahead of US NFP data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • Gold price is facing barricades in stretching its recovery move further ahead of US NFP data.
  • The Fed might continue its interest rates on an elevated level for a longer period.
  • An upbeat US ADP Employment Change data bolsters the expectations of solid US NFP data ahead.

The pair currently trades last at 1832.53.

The previous day high was 1865.15 while the previous day low was 1836.25. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1854.11, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1847.29, expected to provide resistance.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has attempted a recovery move after dropping to near $1,825.00 in the late New York session. The precious metal is struggling to extend its rebound further as solid United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change data has triggered the risk of continuation of higher interest rate stability by the Federal Reserve (Fed) for a secular period.

S&P500 witnessed a massive sell-off from the market participants, portraying a risk-aversion theme, as higher additions of fresh payrolls in the United States labor market will compel the Fed to keep its hawkish stance on interest rates for a longer period. This has also triggered a risk of recession in the US economy. The Employment Change (Dec) soared to 235K vs. the expectations of 150K and the former release of 127K. Also, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims (IJC) has dropped to 204K vs. the consensus of 225K.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) recorded a juggernaut rally after sustaining above the critical resistance of 104.00 and climbed to near 105.00. Also, the 10-year US Treasury yields sensed demand and gained to near 3.72%.

On Friday, investors will keep an eye on US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. After observing upbeat cues from ADP Employment Change, it is highly likely that the US NFP will release better-than-projected data. The Unemployment Rate is seen stable at 3.7%.

On a four-hour scale, the Gold price has dropped to near the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,827.60 after failing to extend rally. The upward-sloping trendline placed from November 23 low at $1,721.23 will act as major support for the precious metal ahead. Also, the 200-EMA at $1,790.23 has not been tested yet, which indicates that the long-term trend is still bullish.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has dropped to near 40.00 which signals a consolidation ahead.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAUUSD currently trading at 1832.84 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1855.38 and is trading with a change of -1.21 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1832.84
1 Today Daily Change -22.54
2 Today Daily Change % -1.21
3 Today daily open 1855.38

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1806.47, 50 SMA 1760.84, 100 SMA @ 1725.02 and 200 SMA @ 1778.94.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1806.47
1 Daily SMA50 1760.84
2 Daily SMA100 1725.02
3 Daily SMA200 1778.94

The previous day high was 1865.15 while the previous day low was 1836.25. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1854.11, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1847.29, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1839.37, 1823.36, 1810.47
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1868.27, 1881.16, 1897.17
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1865.15
Previous Daily Low 1836.25
Previous Weekly High 1833.38
Previous Weekly Low 1797.11
Previous Monthly High 1833.38
Previous Monthly Low 1765.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1854.11
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1847.29
Daily Pivot Point S1 1839.37
Daily Pivot Point S2 1823.36
Daily Pivot Point S3 1810.47
Daily Pivot Point R1 1868.27
Daily Pivot Point R2 1881.16
Daily Pivot Point R3 1897.17

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