#XAUUSD @ 1665.27 Gold price tumbles to fresh 2-year lows below the $1670 mark. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold price tumbles to fresh 2-year lows below the $1670 mark.
- Expectations that the Fed would aggressively continue to tighten weighed on the yellow metal.
- Upbeat US Retail Sales continue to show the strength of the US economy.
The pair currently trades last at 1665.27.
The previous day high was 1707.2 while the previous day low was 1693.76. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1698.89, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1702.07, expected to provide resistance.
Gold price tumbles below the $1700 psychological level, to fresh two-year lows at $1665.30, on expectations that the US Federal Reserve would continue to tighten monetary conditions, sparking a jump in US Treasury yields. Hence, the greenback followed suit but pared earlier gains. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD is trading at around $1666 a troy ounce.
US Treasury yields jumped on expectations that the Fed might hike rates between 75 or 100 bps. The US 2-year bond yield, the most sensitive to interest rate hikes, peaked at 3.84%, while the 10-year benchmark note remained at 3.437%, gaining three bps. Worth noting that the yield curve further inverted, with the spread between 2s and 10s deepening to -0-403%, as market participants expected an aggressive Fed could derail the US economy, tapping it into a recession.
US Retail Sales for August, reported by the US Department of Commerce, surprisingly rose, after dropping a month earlier, with readings increasing 0.3%, exceeding estimates of -0.1%.
In the meantime, US economic data revealed by the Labor Department showed that Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on September 10 was 213K, decreasing from the previous week’s reading and lower than estimates of 227K.
The New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Indices were reported, showing mixed results. The New York Empire State manufacturing sector improved but remained in contractionary territory, while the Philadelphia Fed index dropped to the contractionary part after rebounding in the August report.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1666.0 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1697.22 and is trading with a change of -0.93 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1666.00 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -15.73 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.93 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1697.22 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1725.12, 50 SMA 1740.12, 100 SMA @ 1790.02 and 200 SMA @ 1832.43.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1725.12 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1740.12 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1790.02 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1832.43 |
The previous day high was 1707.2 while the previous day low was 1693.76. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1698.89, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1702.07, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1691.59, 1685.95, 1678.15
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1705.03, 1712.83, 1718.47
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1707.20 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1693.76 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1729.57 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1691.47 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1807.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1709.68 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1698.89 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1702.07 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1691.59 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1685.95 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1678.15 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1705.03 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1712.83 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1718.47 |
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