#USDJPY @ 139.806 is looking to recapture 140.00 as investors eye more interest rate hikes from the Fed. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/JPY is looking to recapture 140.00 as investors eye more interest rate hikes from the Fed.
- Former Fed policymaker Lacker cited interest rates should rise to 6% to arrest sticky inflation.
- BoJ watchers are seeing no policy adjustments in June as BoJ Ueda is consistently supporting monetary stimulus.
The pair currently trades last at 139.806.
The previous day high was 140.25 while the previous day low was 139.02. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 139.78, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.49, expected to provide support.
The USD/JPY pair has shown some recovery after dropping to near 139.66 in the early London session. The asset is expected to recapture the crucial resistance of 140.00 as investors are hoping that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates further to bring down sticky United States inflation.
S&P500 futures have carry-forwarded losses to Europe generated in the Asian session, indicating cautious market sentiment. US economic prospects are under threat as the street is anticipating that more interest rate hikes are required to keep building pressure on US Consumer Price Index (CPI). Former Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker cited that current interest rates at 5.0-5.25% should rise to 6% in order to bring down sticky inflation.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has found an intermediate support around 104.00. It is likely that the USD Index would fall into a volatile contraction phase due to a light economic calendar. It seems that investors are preparing for the next week’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
Meanwhile, Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, said the US is seeing stubbornly high inflation along with elevated real interest rates, as reported by Bloomberg. He further added “We are at the beginning of a late, big-cycle debt crisis when you are producing too much debt and have a shortage of buyers,”
The Japanese Yen has failed to fetch strength despite discussions over an exit from the ultra-dovish interest rate policy by Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda. About BoJ’s interest rate guidance, Bloomberg reported that BoJ watchers are seeing no policy adjustments in June as BoJ Ueda is consistently supporting the need for monetary stimulus to keep inflation steadily above 2%.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 139.88 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 140.1 and is trading with a change of -0.16 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 139.88 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.22 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.16 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 140.10 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 138.6, 50 SMA 135.8, 100 SMA @ 134.3 and 200 SMA @ 137.31.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 138.60 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 135.80 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 134.30 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 137.31 |
The previous day high was 140.25 while the previous day low was 139.02. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 139.78, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.49, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 139.34, 138.57, 138.12
- Pivot resistance is noted at 140.56, 141.01, 141.78
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 140.25 |
| Previous Daily Low | 139.02 |
| Previous Weekly High | 140.93 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 138.43 |
| Previous Monthly High | 140.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 133.50 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 139.78 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 139.49 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 139.34 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 138.57 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 138.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 140.56 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 141.01 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 141.78 |
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