#EURJPY @ 149.830 rises after GDP in Q1 for Japan surprisingly contracted by 0.3%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#EURJPY @ 149.830 rises after GDP in Q1 for Japan surprisingly contracted by 0.3%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • EUR/JPY rises after GDP in Q1 for Japan surprisingly contracted by 0.3%.
  • Current Account showed a surplus and Trade Balance deficit in April.
  • Eyes on Eurozone GDP data on Thursday.

The pair currently trades last at 149.830.

The previous day high was 150.02 while the previous day low was 148.63. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 149.49, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 149.16, expected to provide support.

At the beginning of Thursday’s Asian session the EUR/JPY rose after Japan reported strong Current Account data but a Trade Balance deficit. In addition, the Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) unexpectedly contracted. As a reaction, the EUR/JPY increased slightly to the 149.88 area. For the rest of the session, GDP data from the Eurozone (EZ) may have a further impact on the pair.

The Cabinet Office from Japan reported that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted by 0.3% (QoQ) in Q1 while the markets expected a 0.5% expansion from the previous 0.4% quarterly reading. However, the annualized rate showed an expansion of 2.7% from its previous 1.6%. In addition, the Ministry of Finance reported a ¥1,895B Current Account surplus but a ¥113.1B Trade Balance deficit, which came better than the consensus.

On Thursday, the EZ will report GDP data from Q1, which is expected to have stagnated in the quarterly reading and a slight deceleration in the annualized rate from 1.3% to 1.2%.

According to the daily chart, the EUR/JPY exchange rate holds a neutral to bullish outlook for the short term as the market enters a period of consolidation. However, technical indicators remain positive, indicating that the market may be preparing for another leg up.

If EUR/JPY manages to move higher, the next resistances to watch are at the 149.80 zone, followed by the 150.00 area and the 150.50 level. On the other hand, The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at the 149.40 level is key for EUR/JPY to maintain its upside bias. If it is breached, a more pronounced decline towards the 148.50 area and 148.00 zone could come into play.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURJPY currently trading at 149.8 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 149.91 and is trading with a change of -0.07 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 149.80
1 Today Daily Change -0.11
2 Today Daily Change % -0.07
3 Today daily open 149.91

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 149.27, 50 SMA 147.84, 100 SMA @ 145.16 and 200 SMA @ 144.14.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 149.27
1 Daily SMA50 147.84
2 Daily SMA100 145.16
3 Daily SMA200 144.14

The previous day high was 150.02 while the previous day low was 148.63. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 149.49, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 149.16, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 149.02, 148.14, 147.64
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 150.41, 150.91, 151.8
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 150.02
Previous Daily Low 148.63
Previous Weekly High 151.07
Previous Weekly Low 148.59
Previous Monthly High 151.62
Previous Monthly Low 146.14
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 149.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 149.16
Daily Pivot Point S1 149.02
Daily Pivot Point S2 148.14
Daily Pivot Point S3 147.64
Daily Pivot Point R1 150.41
Daily Pivot Point R2 150.91
Daily Pivot Point R3 151.80

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