#GBPUSD @ 1.22953 rallied towards its daily high at 1.2304 on the headlines. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD rallied towards its daily high at 1.2304 on the headlines.
- The US Federal Reserve hikes rates by 25 bps to the 4.75% – 5.00% range.
- Traders eyed the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference.
The pair currently trades last at 1.22953.
The previous day high was 1.2283 while the previous day low was 1.2179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2218, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2243, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD is rallying sharply after the US Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps. Federal Reserve officials updated its dot-plot, with 10 out of 18 policymakers expecting another 25 bps rate hike by the end of the year. At the time of typing, the GBP/USD is trading volatile within the 1.2240-1.2300 range as traders brace for Fed’s Powell press conference.
In its statement, the Fed acknowledged that the recent developments in the financial markets could tighten monetary conditions for households and businesses. However, the US central bank emphasized that the US banking system is solid and resilient.
Fed officials commented that the labor market remains strong and inflation is still elevated. Regarding the Quantitative Tightening (QT), the Fed commented that the balance sheet reduction would continue as planned and reiterated that the Committee “is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.”
From the monetary policy statement, Federal Reserve’s policymakers removed the phrase “ongoing increases.”
The Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) was almost unchanged. The dot plots, the Federal Reserve’s officials’ projections for interest rates, remained unchanged at 5.10%. Real GDP is expected at 0.4% vs. December 0.5%, while the Unemployment Rate is expected at 4.6% vs. 4.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge for inflation, the core PCE is expected at 3.6%, compared to the last SEP report in December at 3.5%, while headline inflation is estimated at 3.3%, vs. 3.1% of the prior’s SEP.
The GBP/USD skyrocketed in the first 10 minutes following the Fed’s monetary policy statement release. The GBP/USD rallied to new 7-week highs but has retraced its gains ahead of the Fed Chair Powell press conference.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2274 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2217 and is trading with a change of 0.47 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2274 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0057 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.4700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2217 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2046, 50 SMA 1.2144, 100 SMA @ 1.2064 and 200 SMA @ 1.1893.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2046 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2144 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2064 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1893 |
The previous day high was 1.2283 while the previous day low was 1.2179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2218, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2243, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.217, 1.2122, 1.2066
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2274, 1.233, 1.2378
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2283 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2179 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2204 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.2010 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2402 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1915 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2218 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2243 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2170 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.2122 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.2066 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2274 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2330 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2378 |
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