#AUDUSD @ 0.66744 is subdued around the 0.6670s ahead of the Fed’s decision. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• AUD/USD is subdued around the 0.6670s ahead of the Fed’s decision.
• The US Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates to the 4.75% – 5.00% range.
• The RBA’s latest minutes were dovish, as the central bank took off higher interest rate increases.

The pair currently trades last at 0.66744.

The previous day high was 0.6726 while the previous day low was 0.665. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6679, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6697, expected to provide resistance.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) holds to its earlier gains against the US Dollar (USD) amidst a so-far dull trading session with traders awaiting the Fed’s decision. Sentiment remains fragile and mixed, while US Treasury bond yields have turned south. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD is trading at 0.6675 after hitting a high of 0.6702.

Investors’ mood shifted sour as the time closed to read the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy statement and hear its Chairman Jerome Powell at the stand. Money market futures foresee a 25 bps rate hike, with odds at an 86.4% chance.

Three weeks ago, Jerome Powell opened the door for faster rate hikes before a banking crisis hit the US and abroad. Two lenders in the United States (US) collapsed, while First Republic Bank got aided by 11 banks pledging $30 billion. Late Tuesday, the US Secretary of Treasury Janet L. Yellen calmed the financial markets after stating that the government would intervene to protect depositors of small banks.

That was a green light for traders hungry for risk ahead of the Fed’s decision. Nevertheless, the three major US equity indices are trading below Tuesday’s close by a minimum percentage.

US Treasury bond yields had recovered some ground in the fixed income space, with 2s and 10s almost unchanged at 4.197% and 3.583%, respectively. The greenback is on the defensive, as shown by the US Dollar Index (DXY), down 0.07%, at 103.144.

On the Australian front, the minutes of the last meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) forgot to mention discussions for a higher rate hike, with board members considering only 25 bps. Regarding the strength of the banking system, the RBA’s Governor Kent states that banks are “unquestionably strong.”

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6681 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6669 and is trading with a change of 0.18 % .

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6693, 50 SMA 0.6862, 100 SMA @ 0.6783 and 200 SMA @ 0.6763.

The previous day high was 0.6726 while the previous day low was 0.665. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6679, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6697, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.6637, 0.6605, 0.656
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6714, 0.6758, 0.679

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