#AUDUSD @ 0.65775 is expected to deliver more losses below 0.6570 as RBA’s Lowe has considered a pause in the policy-tightening spell. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• AUD/USD is expected to deliver more losses below 0.6570 as RBA’s Lowe has considered a pause in the policy-tightening spell.
• Mounting fears of a recession in the United States have triggered the risk-aversion theme.
• RBA’s Lowe believes the reopening of the Chinese economy will positive for the Australian economy.

The pair currently trades last at 0.65775.

The previous day high was 0.6748 while the previous day low was 0.6581. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6645, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6684, expected to provide resistance.

The AUD/USD pair is demonstrating volatility contraction after a perpendicular downside move inspired by extremely hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell. The Aussie asset is displaying back-and-forth action below 0.6600 and is expected to display more weakness amid less-hawkish commentary from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe despite a one-time slash in Australian inflation.

S&P500 futures have surrendered their nominal losses earned in the early Asian session as the risk profile is getting depressed further. Mounting fears of a recession in the United States have triggered the risk-aversion theme. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has resumed its upside journey and has scaled to a fresh three-month high above 105.70. The alpha generated on 10-year US Treasury bonds has recaptured the 4.0% resistance.

The remarks from RBA Governor Philip Lowe are impacting the Australian Dollar. RBA’s Lowe cited “The central bank is closer to pausing its aggressive cycle of rate increases as the policy is now in the restrictive territory and there are signs the economy was responding.” It seems that the slowdown in January’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) has infused confidence in the sentiment of RBA’s Lowe.

Apart from that, RBA’s Lowe believes that the reopening of the Chinese economy will positive for the Australian economy. It is worth noting that Australia is a leading trading partner of China and a gloomy economic outlook of china will support the Australian Dollar.

Going forward, the US Dollar will be guided by the United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (Feb) data. According to the estimates, the US economy has added fresh payrolls by 200K, higher than the former release of 106K.

Later this week, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data will provide more clarity. Along with that, the release of the Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings data will be of utmost importance.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6585 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6592 and is trading with a change of -0.11 % .

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6828, 50 SMA 0.6896, 100 SMA @ 0.6757 and 200 SMA @ 0.6787.

The previous day high was 0.6748 while the previous day low was 0.6581. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6645, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6684, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.6533, 0.6474, 0.6366
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6699, 0.6807, 0.6866

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