#GBPUSD @ 1.18309 has taken a sigh of relief after a nosedive move near 1.1825, more downside looks inevitable. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD has taken a sigh of relief after a nosedive move near 1.1825, more downside looks inevitable.
- Fed Powell’s extremely hawkish remarks on interest rate guidance have spooked market sentiment.
- A breakdown of crucial support after a Double Top formation has confirmed a bearish reversal.
The pair currently trades last at 1.18309.
The previous day high was 1.2049 while the previous day low was 1.1993. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2014, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2028, expected to provide resistance.
The GBP/USD pair has turned sideways around 1.1825 in the early Asian session after a nosedive move from the psychological resistance of 1.2000. The downside bias in the Cable looks not over yet as the currencies have to bear the volatility associated with the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (Feb) after sheer volatility inspired by the commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell.
S&P500 futures were heavily dumped by investors as more rates from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have made the US economy prone to recession. A dismal US economic outlook sent the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a fresh three-month high at 105.65. The return delivered on 10-year US Treasury bonds is around 3.97%.
The remarks from Fed Powell in his testimony before Congress forced investors to underpin the risk aversion theme. Powell said the “ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated,” after the “latest economic data have come in stronger than expected.”
GBP/USD has delivered a breakdown of the Double Top chart pattern formed on a daily scale plotted from December 15 high at 1.2447. A slippage below the horizontal support placed from January 06 low at 1.1841 confirms a bearish reversal.
The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2064 is acting as a major barricade for the Pound Sterling.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped below 40.00 for the first time in the past one month. More downside looks inevitable as the RSI (14) is not showing any sign of divergence and oversold.
Should the Cable break below the round-level support of 1.1800, US Dollar bulls will drag the asset further toward November 17 low at 1.17633 followed by November 14 low around 1.1700.
On the flip side, a move above February 24 high at 1.2040 will drive the asset toward February 23 high around 1.2080. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to February 21 high around 1.2140.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1834 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2019 and is trading with a change of -1.54 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1834 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0185 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -1.5400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2019 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.2047, 50 SMA 1.214, 100 SMA @ 1.1992 and 200 SMA @ 1.1913.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2047 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2140 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1992 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1913 |
The previous day high was 1.2049 while the previous day low was 1.1993. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2014, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2028, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1992, 1.1964, 1.1936
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2047, 1.2076, 1.2103
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2049 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1993 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2143 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1922 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2402 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1915 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2014 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2028 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1992 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1964 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1936 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2047 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2076 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2103 |
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