#GBPUSD @ 1.23950 remains confined in a narrow trading band heading into the North American session. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD remains confined in a narrow trading band heading into the North American session.
- A combination of factors helps revive the USD demand and acts as a headwind for the major.
- The downside seems limited as traders prefer to wait for the release of the US Q4 GDP report.
The pair currently trades last at 1.23950.
The previous day high was 1.24 while the previous day low was 1.2283. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2355, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2328, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair continues with its struggle to gain any meaningful traction and extends its rangebound price action heaving into the North American session. The pair is currently placed just below the 1.2400 mark, awaiting a fresh catalyst before the next leg of a directional move.
Traders now seem to have moved to the sidelines and look to the first estimate of the fourth quarter US GDP report for a fresh impetus. In the meantime, an intraday pickup in the US Treasury bond yields and a softer risk tone assist the safe-haven US Dollar to stage a modest recovery from an eight-month low. This, in turn, acts as a headwind for the GBP/USD pair, though the downside seems cushioned, at least for the time being.
Rising bets for a smaller 25 bps Fed rate hike move in February should keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the US bond yields and hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Furthermore, speculations that elevated consumer inflation will force the Bank of England (BoE) to continue lifting rates should offer some support to the British Pound. This supports prospects for some meaningful upside for the GBP/USD pair.
Traders, however, seem reluctant ahead of the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP print, Durable Goods Orders and New Home Sales data. The focus will then shift to the US Core PCE Price Index, due on Friday, which will play a key role in influencing the Fed’s rate-hike path. This, in turn, will drive the USD demand and determine the near-term trajectory for the GBP/USD pair ahead of next week’s crucial central bank event risks.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2386 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2398 and is trading with a change of -0.1 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2386 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0012 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.1000 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2398 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2193, 50 SMA 1.2142, 100 SMA @ 1.1749 and 200 SMA @ 1.1968.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2193 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2142 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1749 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1968 |
The previous day high was 1.24 while the previous day low was 1.2283. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2355, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2328, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.232, 1.2243, 1.2203
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2437, 1.2477, 1.2554
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2400 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2283 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2436 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.2169 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2447 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1992 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2355 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2328 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2320 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.2243 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.2203 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2437 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2477 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2554 |
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