#EURJPY @ 138.352 rally stalled around 139.50 and collapsed on ECB’s dovish headlines. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/JPY rally stalled around 139.50 and collapsed on ECB’s dovish headlines.
- EUR/JPY Price Analysis: IF it clears 138.00, a fall toward 137.00 is on the cards.
The pair currently trades last at 138.352.
The previous day high was 139.3 while the previous day low was 138.24. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 138.89, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 138.64, expected to provide resistance.
The EUR/JPY reached a two-day high of around 139.61 but plunged due to a news headline crossing wires that stated that European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers could start to consider a slower pace of rate hikes. Therefore, the EUR/JPY plunged toward its daily low of 138.20 before stabilizing at current exchange rates. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY is trading at 138.30, below its opening price by 0.53%.
The EUR/JPY Tuesday’s pullback courtesy of headlines accelerated the downtrend ahead of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) monetary policy decision. Its daily high fell shy of testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) by 100 pips and plunged to print fresh weekly lows. In addition, oscillators remain in bearish territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aiming lower, while the Rate of Change (RoC), flashes bears are in control. Hence, the EUR/JPY might resume its downtrend in the near term.
Therefore, the EUR/JPY needs to clear the 138.00 figure, to prolong its downtrend further. Once cleared, the next stop would be the January 3 daily low of 137.38, followed by the 137.00 mark. As an alternate scenario, if the EUR/JPY reclaims 139.00, that would exacerbate a rally toward 140.00.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURJPY currently trading at 138.34 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 139.09 and is trading with a change of -0.54 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 138.34 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.75 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.54 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 139.09 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 140.65, 50 SMA 142.91, 100 SMA @ 143.14 and 200 SMA @ 140.72.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 140.65 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 142.91 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 143.14 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 140.72 |
The previous day high was 139.3 while the previous day low was 138.24. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 138.89, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 138.64, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 138.45, 137.81, 137.39
- Pivot resistance is noted at 139.52, 139.94, 140.58
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 139.30 |
| Previous Daily Low | 138.24 |
| Previous Weekly High | 142.86 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 138.01 |
| Previous Monthly High | 146.73 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 138.80 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 138.89 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 138.64 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 138.45 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 137.81 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 137.39 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 139.52 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 139.94 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 140.58 |
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