XAGUSD @ 5.25 – Support/Resistance analysis: Silver Price Analysis: dives towards the 50-DMA, forming a bearish-engulfing candle pattern

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XAGUSD @ 5.25 – Support/Resistance analysis: Silver Price Analysis: dives towards the 50-DMA, forming a bearish-engulfing candle pattern


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  • Silver price is upward biased from a monthly chart perspective.
  • In the weekly chart, XAG/USD remains below its 200-week EMA, downward biased.
  • XAG/USD daily chart illustrates silver as neutral-to-downwards, though a bearish-engulfing candle pattern suggests a leg-down is on the cards.

The pair currently trades last at 5.25.

The previous day high was 20.84 while the previous day low was 20.24. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 20.61, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 20.47, expected to provide resistance.

Silver price edges lower during Monday’s North American session, down by 2.40% courtesy of US dollar strength, despite falling US Treasury bond yields, ahead of the release of the last FOMC monetary policy minutes. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD formed a bearish-engulfing candle pattern, trading at $20.23.

The white metal outlook looks more positive than negative from a monthly chart perspective. July’s price action formed a dragonfly-doji in a crowded area with the 50, 100, and 200-monthly MAs lying around the $18.48-$20.17 region, which could pave the way for further gains. On the topside, the 20-month EMA at $23.81 might cap further XAG/USD gains.

XAG/USD Monthly chart

In the meantime, the XAG/USD weekly chart portrays the non-yielding metal struggling at the 200-week MA, at $20.60. Nevertheless, unless sellers push silver below $19.80, buyers could remain hopeful of higher prices, though they would face a wall of resistance at around $21.48, the 20-week EMA. Once cleared, it would pave the way towards the 50-week EMA at $22.73, ahead of the 100-week at $24.11.

XAG/USD Weekly chart

The XAG/USD daily chart portrays silver as neutral-to-downwards biased. As previously mentioned, a bearish-engulfing candle pattern surfaced. Still, the 50-day EMA at $20.18 is a difficult support level to overcome for sellers, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aiming lower, towards the 50-midline, might open the door for further losses.

If XAG/USD sellers achieve a daily close below the above-mentioned, the XAG/USD next support would be the $20.00 figure, which, once cleared, could test the 20-day EMA at $19.73. On the flip side, if XAG/USD buyers hold the fort above the former, then the XAG/USD first resistance would be the $21.00 figure. Break below will expose crucial resistance levels, like the 50-day EMA at $21.68, followed by the 200-day EMA at $22.68.

XAG/USD Daily chart

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAGUSD currently trading at 20.23 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 20.84 and is trading with a change of -2.93 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 20.23
1 Today Daily Change -0.61
2 Today Daily Change % -2.93
3 Today daily open 20.84

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 19.67, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 20.24 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 21.75 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 22.72

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 19.67
1 Daily SMA50 20.24
2 Daily SMA100 21.75
3 Daily SMA200 22.72

The previous day high was 20.84 while the previous day low was 20.24. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 20.61, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 20.47, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 20.44, 20.04, 19.84
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 21.04, 21.24, 21.64
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 20.84
Previous Daily Low 20.24
Previous Weekly High 20.84
Previous Weekly Low 19.80
Previous Monthly High 20.37
Previous Monthly Low 18.15
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 20.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 20.47
Daily Pivot Point S1 20.44
Daily Pivot Point S2 20.04
Daily Pivot Point S3 19.84
Daily Pivot Point R1 21.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 21.24
Daily Pivot Point R3 21.64

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