XAGUSD @ 5.25 – Support/Resistance analysis: Silver Price Analysis: dives towards the 50-DMA, forming a bearish-engulfing candle pattern
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- Silver price is upward biased from a monthly chart perspective.
- In the weekly chart, XAG/USD remains below its 200-week EMA, downward biased.
- XAG/USD daily chart illustrates silver as neutral-to-downwards, though a bearish-engulfing candle pattern suggests a leg-down is on the cards.
The pair currently trades last at 5.25.
The previous day high was 20.84 while the previous day low was 20.24. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 20.61, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 20.47, expected to provide resistance.
Silver price edges lower during Monday’s North American session, down by 2.40% courtesy of US dollar strength, despite falling US Treasury bond yields, ahead of the release of the last FOMC monetary policy minutes. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD formed a bearish-engulfing candle pattern, trading at $20.23.
The white metal outlook looks more positive than negative from a monthly chart perspective. July’s price action formed a dragonfly-doji in a crowded area with the 50, 100, and 200-monthly MAs lying around the $18.48-$20.17 region, which could pave the way for further gains. On the topside, the 20-month EMA at $23.81 might cap further XAG/USD gains.
XAG/USD Monthly chart
In the meantime, the XAG/USD weekly chart portrays the non-yielding metal struggling at the 200-week MA, at $20.60. Nevertheless, unless sellers push silver below $19.80, buyers could remain hopeful of higher prices, though they would face a wall of resistance at around $21.48, the 20-week EMA. Once cleared, it would pave the way towards the 50-week EMA at $22.73, ahead of the 100-week at $24.11.
XAG/USD Weekly chart
The XAG/USD daily chart portrays silver as neutral-to-downwards biased. As previously mentioned, a bearish-engulfing candle pattern surfaced. Still, the 50-day EMA at $20.18 is a difficult support level to overcome for sellers, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aiming lower, towards the 50-midline, might open the door for further losses.
If XAG/USD sellers achieve a daily close below the above-mentioned, the XAG/USD next support would be the $20.00 figure, which, once cleared, could test the 20-day EMA at $19.73. On the flip side, if XAG/USD buyers hold the fort above the former, then the XAG/USD first resistance would be the $21.00 figure. Break below will expose crucial resistance levels, like the 50-day EMA at $21.68, followed by the 200-day EMA at $22.68.
XAG/USD Daily chart
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAGUSD currently trading at 20.23 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 20.84 and is trading with a change of -2.93 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 20.23 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.61 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -2.93 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 20.84 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 19.67, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 20.24 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 21.75 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 22.72
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 19.67 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 20.24 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 21.75 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 22.72 |
The previous day high was 20.84 while the previous day low was 20.24. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 20.61, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 20.47, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 20.44, 20.04, 19.84
- Pivot resistance is noted at 21.04, 21.24, 21.64
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 20.84 |
| Previous Daily Low | 20.24 |
| Previous Weekly High | 20.84 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 19.80 |
| Previous Monthly High | 20.37 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 18.15 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 20.61 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 20.47 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 20.44 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 20.04 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 19.84 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 21.04 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 21.24 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 21.64 |
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